Ask anybody about Wales and there are probably a few things that come to mind. Welsh cakes, choirs, and probably rain. The declaration of drought status across the whole of Wales tells a much bigger story than one dry month. It is a warning about the Wales we are becoming if we do not move faster to adapt to climate change and restore the natural systems that help protect us.
This July, Wales has received just 8% of its long-term average rainfall, with many rivers now exceptionally low and reports of drying riverbeds, fish in distress, algal blooms, wildfire risk, and growing pressure on farming and livestock. Natural Resources Wales has made clear that drought is declared when low rainfall and water availability are already affecting our communities and ecosystems.
The impacts of climate change should now be in no doubt. Drought, extreme heat, wildfire, flooding, water scarcity and biodiversity loss are not separate problems. They are connected symptoms of a landscape under stress. We cannot meet this challenge by responding to each emergency in isolation. Wales needs a long-term national effort to make our communities, farms, rivers and wildlife more resilient.
The horrifying wildfires seen across Wales and the wider UK this year show what this means in practice. Too often, public debate focuses only on the immediate source of ignition, while the wider causes of these fires are left out of political and media coverage. A spark matters, but it becomes a major wildfire because the landscape around it has been made hotter, drier and more flammable by climate change, degraded habitats and land management pressures. If we only talk about how fires start, and not why they spread so quickly and burn so intensely, we will keep missing the lesson.
Some have argued that the answer lies in putting more livestock back onto the hills. Reducing wildfire risk in the Welsh uplands is complex, but simply increasing livestock numbers could make the situation worse. In many places, past policies and subsidy systems, including the 1980s–early 2000s headage payments that rewarded livestock numbers, helped drive unsustainably high stocking levels. Overgrazing, particularly by sheep, can make the problem worse, because sheep tend to avoid tough Molinia grass, allowing it to dominate large areas. This has been compounded by decades of draining our peatlands and disrupting the crucial sphagnum mosses and other peat-forming species, often driven by attempts to “improve” the land. This dry, tussocky grass can become highly flammable in dry weather.